Title : Crystal Ball Gazing for 2018
link : Crystal Ball Gazing for 2018
Crystal Ball Gazing for 2018
Happy New Year
I hope 2018 is a year of rich possibilities for you and your family
Starting with the big guys...
Air New Zealand
Last year I suggested we had not seen the end of the regional cuts... From what I have heard all the regional ports are growing their loadings. So Timaru and Hokitika might not necessarily be under the microscope, though the present schedule is not great for either of these two ports. The route I wonder about is Hamilton-Palmerston North-Wellington... I often take this flight and I would guess about half the passengers get off at Palmerston North with the rest continuing on to Wellington and so I wonder about the economics of that. Hamilton-Palmerston North is the only inter provincial route for Air NZ. It could be easily relinquished in favour of someone else.
Jetstar
Jetstar did pick up another Q300 last year, VH-Sonny-Bill Williams but no new route was started. Instead there was a reduction of frequencies on some regional routes... Jetstar are returning to the Wellington-Queenstown run this year. Once again, if there is a new route my pick would be Auckland-Tauranga.
The rising stars...
Air Chathams
Air Chats added another Convair freighter, and 2 Metro 23s to their fleet in 2017. They have also announced the purchase of two more Saabs (http://ift.tt/2lvX0MN). So for the Saabs maybe Auckland-Whakatane once the RESA improvements are made at Whakatane. Or, if Air NZ did pull out of Hamilton-Palmerston North the Saab would be ideal with maybe a Hamilton-Nelson in the middle of the day and Hamilton-Auckland to get the aircraft to the engineering base and for an aircraft change. One Saab is supposedly for charter out of Auckland. The Whakatane Metro would then need to look for work so maybe Whanganui-Christchurch or Whakatane-Wellington. I'm still a Masterton fan but the runway there may be problematic. Air Chathams operate a good fare structure so I think a Masterton-Auckland could work twice a day with a midday service to Christchurch as well. I think more Metro and Convair freight flights could be a goer as well.
Sounds Air
A decision will be made in the early New Year on whether or not to purchase Beech 1900s. This would be a big change for Sounds Air. A Beech 1900, being a twin, will have more passenger appeal but they will need to find work for them. Christchurch-Blenheim will certainly have been built up with the closure of State Highway 1 but will this traffic be sustainable. Westport and Taupo often have full flights especially on Mondays and Fridays but it is not just a matter of swapping aircraft. There is also the matter of crews being trained etc. The question for Sounds Air will be have they got the ability and need to upsize on Westport and/or Taupo or find new routes such as Masterton. A Beech on Oamaru-Wellington would also be interesting. If Air NZ pulled out of Wellington-Palmerston North a Blenheim-Palmerston North might work.
The Steady as She Goes Brigade
Barrier Air
I really thought Barrier Air was getting a second Caravan towards the end of 2017. I would like to think a second Caravan might still be in the wings but I can't see any room for new routes out of Auckland.
Fly My Sky
They have a model - four Islanders on the Auckland-Great Barrier... It seems to work. Can't see any further development this year.
FlyStark
Over the summer they are operating Ardmore-Great Barrier-Whitianga with one Airvan... If Sunair don't get airborne again they could develop services out of Ardmore and Whitianga and establish Great Barrier links to and from Whangarei and Tauranga
Flight Hauraki
They operate Ardmore-Waiheke-Great Barrier. Likewise, if Sunair don't get airborne again they could develop services out of Ardmore and Whitianga and establish Great Barrier links to and from Whangarei and Tauranga
Sunair
Will Sunair get airborne again? If it does it will be a gradual rebuilding of services.
Air Napier
They operate a Napier-Gisborne courier run. They could be a successor to Sunair on Central North Island flights having a fleet of Senecas and a Navajo. Their fares would need to such to stimulate traffic.
Air Gisborne
They operate air ambulance service. They also could be a successor to Sunair on Central North Island flights but they would need to invest in another aircraft.
Steady as she goes.
Originair
Are operating Nelson-Palmerston North and Nelson-New Plymouth four days a week. The current timetable is not conducive to business traffic. Air NZ offered an early morning/late afternoon flights between Nelson and Palmerston North. I wonder if Originair could replicate that? The thing to watch... if Air NZ pull out of Palmerston North-Wellington Originair should definitely step up the Nelson-Palmerston North service.
Golden Bay Air
I've heard GBA is looking to expand. I wonder if they could develop a Kaikoura-Wellington run after their Takaka model which seems to work well.
Stewart Island Flights
Again, steady as it goes. A Queenstown-Stewart Island service offers huge possibilities...
So my pick, a year of expanding possibilities as Sounds Air and Air Chathams look to upsize and the future .
thus Article Crystal Ball Gazing for 2018
that is all articles Crystal Ball Gazing for 2018This time, hopefully can provide benefits to all of you. Okay, see you in another article posting .
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